First Dion ad spotted in the wild!

A correspondent writes from Guelph:

I heard one of the anti-Dion ads (slagging the concept of carbon taxes if I recall) on Magic 106 this morning on my drive from Guelph to Kitchener. It would have been about 8:15 a.m. Normally, I listen to CBC1, but Andy Barrie is becoming increasingly self-righteous, so I usually switch to another channel after the 8 o'clock news.

I have no comment on Andy Barrie (here in Ottawa, Kathleen Petty is our drive-time companion in the morning) but my correspondent asks:

Does this mean the PM is about the byelection for Guelph?

And here is my thinking, based on some chats with some of the political players in the region, of why the half-a-million people in the Golden Triangle of Guelph, Kitchener-Waterloo, and Cambridge, Ontario likely to hear more, rather than less, political advertising.
First, in Guelph, the Liberal incumbent, Brenda Chamberlain, retired on April 7 so there will be a bye-election there unless a general election comes first. The Conservative Party fired the candidate, Brent Barr, that was selected through a local nomination process in favour of Gloria Kovach, who has been a city councillor for years. The Tories are very high on their chances in Guelph with Kovach.The Liberal candidate is Frank Valeriote. In 'old' Guelph, the name Valeriote carries a lot of cachet in political circles. His dad Mico was an alderman in Guelph for what seemed like forever and held a lot of political influence. There's a big Italian vote in Guelph and Mico would 'deliver' it for Liberal candidates like Frank Maine, who represented Guelph when Pierre Trudeau was Prime Minister. So in Guelph, we've got two pretty good candidates, both with strong connections to the community, and no incumbent running. It's a race the Liberals ought to win but, with the right campaign, the Conservatives could steal it. If the Tories steal one in the Golden Triangle, the best bet is likely in Guelph.
Meanwhile over in Kitchener, Liberals Karen Redman and Andrew Telegdi hold the twin cities and will likely continue to do so in the next general election. Redman is her party's whip.
In the largely rural region surrounding Kitchener, first-time Conservative MP Harold Albrecht will try to defend his Kitchener-Conestogo riding against what will be a concerted Liberal effort to unseat him. Liberals believe unseating Albrecht is their best chance for a steal in this area.
Down in Cambridge, Conservative Gary Goodyear is a decent bet to hold his seat.
Just to his south, though, is the Liberal-held riding of Brant, held by Lloyd St. Amand. I'd say this one is in play and St. Amand will have to work to defend it. Both Stephen Harper and Paul Martin campaigned in Brant in the last general election, a sure sign that both parties think the seat could tip one way or the other.
So with Guelph, Kitchener-Conestogo, and Brant in play, my bet is listeners of the area's radio stations are going to hear a bit more from Ottawa's political parties.