Since Stephen Harper became leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, he has led his side through 30 by-elections. His party’s record in those by-elections? Pretty good. Conservatives held 7 seats in which they were the incumbent, stole 4 seats from another incumbent party, and suffered 1 loss. In the rest, they were neither the incumbent nor were able to steal.
Since Thomas Mulcair (seen above with his current Trinity-Spadina candidate Joe Cressy) succeeded Jack Layton as leader of the NDP, he has led his party into 12 by-elections. His party’s record in those by-elections? Not good. The NDP held 1 seat in which they were the incumbent, have stolen none from other parties and, on Monday, lost a seat to Trudeau’s Liberals. In the rest, they were neither the incumbent nor were able to steal.
Since Justin Trudeau (seen above with his current Trinity-Spadina candidate Adam Vaughan to his left and Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne to his right) became Liberal leader last summer, he has led his party into 9 by-elections. His party’s record in those by-elections? Not too bad. The Liberals held 3 seats in which they were the incumbent, stole 2, one each from the Conservatives and the NDP, and lost none.
But if you work out the rate of increased seat count (easy to do, just take the number of byelections where a party won, divide by number where the party was not the incumbent subtracted from total number of byelections in which a leader was present) and you get the following:
Harper: gained seats in 17% of byelections where it was possible to gain seats.
Mulclair: gained seats in 0% of byelections where it was possible to gain seats.
Trudeau: gained seats in 33% of byelections where it was possible to gain seats.
And working out the numbers for holding seats (times an incumbent party was re-elected divided by total times a party was incumbent in a byelection) then you get:
Harper: re-elected 87.5% of the time
Mulclair: re-elected 50% of the time
Trudeau: re-elected 100% of the time
And then the loss ratios (times an incumbent party was defeated divided by total times a party was incumbent in a byelection):
Harper: defeated 12.5% of the time
Mulclair: defeated 50% of the time
Trudeau: defeated 0% of the time.
Of course these are just statistics and different ways to present numbers, but but numbers tell more of the story, especially when the article seems to say that “pretty good” is actually not as good as “not too bad”.
A vote for Trudeau is the end of Canada as we know it.
Right after he imposes a carbon tax, and other taxes to HELP US, as we don NOT know what we need, and only Trudeau knows what we need, Canada will become a third world country.
If you think taxes are high now, give Trudeau a chance. He has NO clue on how to run Canada, except to run it into the ground.