The federal budget tabled Monday has struck a positive chord with many voters, giving the Conservatives a bump in the polls and heightening the possibility of late spring or early summer election.
The latest poll, provided to CTV News and The Globe and Mail by The Strategic Counsel, finds Conservative support at 39 per cent following the federal budget, up three percentage points compared to polls taken before the budge was tabled. Liberal support is unchanged at 31 per cent but support for the NDP, Bloc Quebecois and Green Party has dropped.
Perhaps more importantly, Ontario voters seem to be jumping on the Conservative bandwagon. The poll found that the Liberals and Conservatives are tied for voter support in Ontario at about 40 per cent.
Here’s the numbers:
How would you vote if an election were held today?
- Conservative Candidate: 39 per cent (up 3 percentage points since March 10)
- Liberal candidate: 31 per cent (unchanged)
- NDP: 13 per cent (down 2 percentage points)
- Green Party: (down 1 percentage point)
- Bloc Quebecois (down 1 percentage point)
Quebec results:
- Bloc Quebecois: 33 per cent (down 3)
- Liberal: 24 (up 2)
Conservative: 24 per cent (down 2)- Green: 11 per cent (up 4)
- NDP: 8 per cent (down 1)
Ontario results:
- Conservatives: 40 per cent (up 6)
Liberals: 40 per cent (down 1)- NDP: 13 per cent (down 2)
- Green Party: 7 per cent (down 3)
The fine print:
Interviews were conducted March 20 and 21. The Strategic Counsel surveyed 1,000 Canadians and believes the results are accurate to within 3.1 percentage points 19 times out of 20. There is a higher margin of error for regional results. For example, the Quebec survey is accurate to within 6.3 percentage points 19 times out of 20.