Expensing options will not hurt most tech earnings

By the end of this year, the U.S. accounting regulators are likely to require all U.S.-listed companies to account for the expense of their stock option programs on their income statements. Right now, it's up to each individual company to decide how it treats the accounting for stock options. Many tech companies account for them in their footnotes to financial statements and that means that options expense does not show up in the reported bottom line.
Relative to companies in other sectors, tech companies are more frequent users of options as part of employee compensation plans and worry that putting options expense into an income statement will hurt their profit and earnings per share.
Not so, say the tech analysts at Smith Barney, the brokerage of Citigroup. While they single out a couple of companies that they are concerned about — namely JDS Uniphase and Sun Microsystems — they say the market has largely already taken options expense into account when they value a given company's stock.
I reported on this study in today's Globe and Mail.
The analysts said there are six factors that investors ought to consider when looking at stock options and other issues related to employee compensation. Here they are, as listed in the Smith Barney report:

  1. Is option expensing increasing faster (or slower) than earnings and thus becoming more (or less) dilutive?
  2. Does the company have a limited/strong growth prospects but a disproportionately large/small amount of option expensing?
  3. Is there a track of record of activities that alienate investors, such as the re-pricing of options?
  4. Is the company likely to reduce options issuance and offset that practice with another one that might actually fare worse/better in the eyes of investors?
  5. Are there underlying issues not fully appreciated by the Street, but for which “option expensing” may serve as a trigger to bring the valuation into focus?

The Royal Bank's big software glitch

Reprinted below is a statement, issued late today, from the Royal Bank.
Canadian readers of this blog will be aware that Canada's biggest bank has been working through an embarrassing and annoying technological problem. [My Globe colleagues have been writing the heck out of this and I put an item up for CTV national news last Friday on this.] All week long, we've been asking the bank what happened. Don't know if this makes it any clearer to me, but it might to you. I'd like to know, for example, what operating system the application was running on that the bank staff were trying to update. Also of some note: IBM Canada is Royal's biggest technology vendor. At first, we wondered if an IBM product or software was to blame. They were quick to point out — on the record and in no uncertain terms — that IBM was not involved at all. In fact, as the brief below indicates, IBM has been hired to be the independent investigator of the problem. Here's what the Royal said:

Transaction Processing Disruption – Technology Issue Summary
What caused the problem?
The root cause of the problem was an error made in a program change on Monday, May 31 that surfaced in the early hours of Tuesday morning, June 1.
Our operating procedures require that all program changes undergo thorough testing before entering our production environment and we continue to investigate all aspects associated with this issue, to determine which, if
any, protocols were broken.
We can assure you that this problem was not a result of any information security breach or malicious act by internal or external parties.
Why didn't you go to back-up facilities?
Back up facilities exist in case our primary facility is disabled. As a matter of policy, therefore, all program changes are implemented simultaneously to both the primary and backup facilities Therefore, our back up facility would not have been useful in this case. One of the issues we will investigate as we complete our learnings from this event is whether this policy should be more robust.
Why did it take so long to recover?
The error manifested itself during the Monday-Tuesday overnight system runs.
Once identified early on Tuesday morning, the error was corrected within two hours. However, our recovery was delayed because we had proceeded to launch into end of day production based on incomplete information. Until we were able to conclude that this error did not pose a pervasive risk to other systems, the decision was made to stop production on Tuesday, June 1st. Once production was restarted later on Tuesday, the verification process took longer than expected because two days of transactions needed to be processed
on the same date. This created additional complexity and the requirement for further manual verification of dates, creating additional backlog. In this situation, rather than running the information through the use of our automated tools, we had to manually override the automated scheduling systems and this significantly slowed processing time.
Through Wednesday, June 2, it was our belief that we could catch up to Tuesday's processes by late that evening. This would have allowed us to process Wednesday's data by early Thursday morning and thus to be up to date for the opening of business.
The manual rescheduling interventions also included the decision to give priority to payroll transactions. As a result of this decision and because of additional time delays resulting from a higher level of manual interventions, we were not able to meet our objective and concluded that we would need the weekend to eliminate the backlog.
Paramount in our efforts was the need to ensure the integrity and security of all the data being processed by the system.
How will you ensure that this will not happen again?
With the recovery process behind us, we are now conducting our own exhaustive, internal review of the specific causes and effects associated with this problem. While we continually review our technology and processes and benchmark against other high performing companies, the events of this past week have caused us to initiate an aggressive assessment of potential procedural gaps. In addition, Gordon Nixon, president and chief executive officer has retained the services of IBM to conduct an independent review of the original cause of the problem, our current processes and the recovery procedures that were employed.
A second phase of our investigation will be to ensure that our policies, procedures and technology comply with best practices — a process that will involve input from other institutions in our industry as well as the sharing of our findings regarding best practices.
Our Commitment to Clients:
We apologize for this disruption and realize that we still have work to do to make things right for those who have been impacted by this situation. We appreciate the cooperation of other financial institutions for accommodating clients who have been affected. We are committed to rebuilding the goodwill of our clients and to taking all necessary steps to accomplish this end.

Help! My Macs cannot see my external CD-RW

Attention all Mac OS uber-geeks: I've got a problem that is buggin' the heck out of me.
The other day, I bought a LaCie Porsche CD-RW FireWire external optical drive. Came home and plugged it into my 17″ PowerBook. iTunes saw the drive and within seconds, I was burning discs. The next day, I plug the PowerBook into it again but this time, nothing. No application sees that there is an optical drive on the other end of the FireWire cord.
So I plug the Porsche into my desktop Cube. Same problem. No application sees the drive.
But when I run System Profile on both machines and click on FireWire, System Profiler reports the existence of a “FireWire Device.”
I have visited LaCie's site and have any and all of the latest drivers there. I am running the latest operating system software from Apple.
I installed the apps that you get when you buy a LaCie drive — namely Roxio's Toast — and have the same problem. The apps don't see the drive.
I have tried all sorts of combinations of starting up the machines with the Porsche on; starting up the Porsche when the machines are on. Nothing works.
I've found just one unhelpful article at Apple's online support.
Any ideas about what I'm doing wrong here?

Apple keeps on rolling …

Shares of Apple Computer hit yet another 52-week high in trading this morning. That's the third day in a row it's touched new annual highs. I'd like to think that my story in today's Globe (Apple climbs to 52-week high on product news) helped fuel investor excitement but something tells me investors are likely more excited about some new product news. The company announced that all of its G5 line of Power Mac desktop computers will be equipped with dual 64-bit processors. Most PCs you buy nowadays have just one processor that computes 32 bits of data at a time. Going from 32- to 64-bits of data doesn't just double a processor's power, there's an exponential increase in its ability. In short: The new G5s will be some honking fast machines. Mind you, Apple still needs to get more software vendors to port their apps to run in a 64-bit environment. On the Windows side of the world, Advanced Micro Devices makes 64-bit processors.

Zero-Knowledge sues IBM

Montreal's Zero-Knowledge Systems Inc. is suing International Business Machines Inc. for $7-million, alleging copyright violation and violation of Quebec's civil code.
I have a brief write-up on this in today's Globe.
Zero-Knowledge, through its new wholly-owned subsidary Synomos, has put up the Statement of Claim and other documents filed with the Quebec Superior Court to support its claim.

Break up Hewlett-Packard, says Merrill

[From today's Globe and Mail] Merrill Lynch's top analyst Steve Milunovich says HP would be worth more to shareholders if it was in two parts – a topic that likely won't come up at today's analyst meeting.

The HP name should stick with a company that sells printers and consumer technology products, and the other should find a new name and sell just computers and high-end services for business customers, he said.

“Experience teaches that focus wins,” Mr. Milunovich said in a research note published today. “Resource allocation and mindshare are likely to be enhanced. HP can differentiate with investors by aggressively returning excess cash to shareholders through a higher dividend or greater share repurchase.”

[Read the full story]

Pacific Crest rates Apple a buy

The day after Apple Computer's CEO Steve Jobs used a lunchtime interview spot on CBNC to announce a cool new wireless gadget, brokerage Pacific Crest Securities is picking up coverage of the company. Analyst Steve Lidberg is starting Apple out with an Outperform rating and has a 12-month price target of $34.
Lidberg writes:

We are initiating coverage of Apple Computer with an Outperform rating. We believe Apple is becoming a leading provider of digital entertainment and media solutions. Apple's iPod and iTunes Music Store should develop into a multibillion-dollar category over the next two to three years, and its R&D initiatives should allow the company to replicate its iPod success in other product categories. These initiatives should accelerate Apple's revenue growth and profitability, as well as change the basis of competition with Dell, Hewlett-Packard and Microsoft. Our price target is $34, or 40x our calendar 2005 EPS estimate of $0.85. Market and macroeconomic conditions could interfere with the realization of this price target, as could risks such as channel disruption, supply constraints and a volatile pricing environment.

Meanwhile, Apple says its new cool gadget,  Airport Express (pictured left) will be available in Canada in July for $179. It's a Wi-Fi plug that, among other things, lets you take a wireless stream from your Mac and play it through your stereo.

I'm a musician, thanks to GarageBand

Several weeks ago, Apple Canada treated us to hands-on demo and briefing of Apple Computer's latest, coolest application called GarageBand. GarageBand is a music composition application that (my musician friends tell me) puts $100,000 digital recording studio on to your Mac. (And it costs about $90).
For the non-musician, like me, GarageBand lets you take pre-recorded loops — a 16-beat piano riff, for example — and tie them all up together into real music. The program handles the syncing up, etc. I think this is a fabulous application and could do for music what Adobe's Photoshop did for photography, that is, it will let everybody jump in and explore some aspect of their creativity.
So, this afternoon, it took me about an hour of noodling away with just bass, drums and piano, to come up with this. Try it out. It's Noodle Piano, Op. 1, about a minute-and-a-half MP3.

Degunk your PC

I'm not even sure degunk is a word but if you've got a PC that's 'gunked', you know what this means. The good people over at tech publisher O'Reilly have a great little 12-step program set up to degunk your Windows-based PC.

Top 12 Ways to Degunk Your PC by Joli Ballew — Your PC, with its 80GB hard drive and 512MB of RAM, runs way too slow. Why? It's gunked up with pictures, movies, music, and attachments you've saved; you've saved stuff to the wrong places; and you have apps installed that you don't use. If you want to clean up your PC, and get it running as fast as it should, follow Joli Ballew and Jeff Duntemann's 12-step program for degunking your PC. Joli and Jeff are the authors of the bestselling Degunking Windows book, from Paraglyph Press.

From Zero to Synomos: The latest startup from the Hills

Montreal's Hammie Hill and his two sons Austin and Hamnett are heading off with another start-up.
The Hills first hit the spotlight during the dot-com boom in the late 1990s. After becoming millionaires when they sold off an Internet service provider business they started up while Austin and Hamnett were in high school, the Hills went on to found Zero Knowledge Systems (ZKS) Inc. In its first incarnation, ZKS was going to build privacy software for consumers.
Because the Hills — and Austin, in particular — were media-savvy and media-friendly, ZKS got a lot of ink (including lots penned by yours truly). Austin even testified before the U.S. Congress on privacy issues. The mindshare they created from that press and political coverage, the line of business they were in, and the general market enthusiasm of the day helped ZKS win more than $50-million (U.S.) in venture capital financing — tops at the time for a Canadian software startup.
But consumers didn't seem to be much interested in buying privacy-protection software and, to the Hill's credit, they recognized that fact, and tried to re-tool the company into a business that would provide other businesses — banks, ISPs and the like — with privacy consulting and software tools. They hired an outsider – Tamas Hevizi — as CEO. This re-focusing helped ZKS weather the dot-com bust although not without scads of layoffs.
Now the Hills are doing something else.
What was the enterprise privacy unit of ZKS has been spun out into a new company called Synomos Inc. It will be a wholly-owned subsidiary of ZKS. Hammie is to be chairman; Austin is to be CEO and president. Hamnett, meanwhile, has replaced Hevizi as ZKS' president and CEO.