Brison kicks off Liberal campaign in Guelph

Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Scott Brison was in Guelph this afternoon where he kicked off the campaign for candidate Frank Valeriote.

Here's the blurb from the Liberal campaign:

Mr. Valeriote and Mr. Brison took specific aim at Conservative Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, who earlier this year told a business audience that Ontario is “the last place” to invest.

“The manufacturing sector has been especially hard hit by a high Canadian dollar, soaring energy prices, and a downturn in the US,” said Mr. Brison. “Even though the Canadian economy shrank in the first quarter of the year, the Conservatives ignore the problems and refuse to take action.”

“ We need immediate action on the manufacturing front and a help with a move towards diversifying the Guelph Economy” stated Mr. Valeriote. Mr. Valeriote also praised the Liberal Green Shift plan, which cuts income taxes and provides other tax credits while putting a price on carbon emissions that contribute to climate change.

“The new global economy will be driven by innovation in renewable energy and energy-efficient technologies – a green and diverse economy,” said Mr. Valeriote. “The University of Guelph and industries throughout WellingtonCounty have always been innovators in green technologies. The Green Shift will be good for the economy and for the environment.”

Voters in the Ontario riding of Guelph, along with those in the Quebec ridings of Westmount-Ville Marie and Saint-Lambert, will go to the polls in 40 days to replace the retiring Brenda Chamberlain (Lib.), Lucienne Robillard (Lib.) and Maka Kotto (BQ) respectively.

All three are shaping up as interesting races. Though a cautious gambler would bet on the incumbent parties to hold each seat, there's a reasonable chance of an upset in all three.

Valeriote, whose dad Mico was a long-time city council member and enjoys some cachet from his family's political longevity in Guelph — will face a tough fight.

He's up against NDP candidate Tom King — he of CBC's Dead Dog Café fame — as well as city councillor and Conservative candidate Gloria Kovach and the Green Party's environment critic Mike Nagy. Nagy is unlikely to win but he could draw off enough support from disaffected mainstream voters that his candidacy could significantly affect the final outcome and may even unseat the Liberals.

Kovach has been winning municipal elections for a long time in Guelph but the Conservatives put themselves behind the eight-ball when the national party stepped in earlier this year to fire the locally-chosen candidate Brett Barr. Barr carried the Conservative can in the 2006 general election but, for some reason, was not liked by the national folks. Many local Conservatives were and still are upset with the party for this and, as a result, Kovach has to do some healing within her own ranks while fending off other parties.

King has some name recognition and should easily connect with people he meets on the campaign trail. His problem in Guelph is that Guelph, a fairly affluent, urban riding with a lefty-university, has never come close to electing a New Democrat. It's been Liberal for 15 years; had a Progressive Conservative during Mulroney's premiership, was mostly Liberal during Trudeau's time and was represented by PC MP Alf Hales in the late 60s and early 70s. Hales, incidentally, is pitching in to help Kovach.

UPDATE: Guelph Mercury reporter Magda Konieczna blogs a good point: Until the 2006 election when Liberal Brenda Chamberlain was elected to sit on the opposition benches, the MP from Guelph has sat on the government side since 1972. Prior to Chamberlain, the last Guelph to sit in opposition? Why, that would be the aforementioned Mr. Hales.

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Jean Chrétien: My Years as Prime Minister: Entre Nous (I)

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On holiday, finally getting a chance to read Jean Chrétien's My Years as Prime Minister.

After working on Bay Street, covering technology companies for nearly a decade, I moved to Ottawa to try my hand at political reporting in the winter of 2005, just as Paul Martin's tenure as PM was winding down. As a result, I missed the Chrétien years and, as I start to read his memoirs of his time in power, I'm keen to see what he has to say, particularly in light of what I know about the current incumbent and how he conducts himself in office..

Here are some of sections I would have underlined had I not had a blog to do that for me …

…politics is about wanting power, getting it, exercising it, and keeping it. Helping people comes with it naturally, because you'll never be elected if you treat people badly …

… Politics is a sport in which the desire for victory is everything, because the ultimate reward is the power that lets you do some good for your constituents as a member of Parliament, for the stakeholders as a minister, and for the entire country and maybe even the rest of the world as prime minister … you're in the game to serve, since politics gives you the opportunity to help others. (p. 2-3)

In 1993…

… Canada was in terrible shape — exhausted, demoralized, and fractured. The federal, provincial and municipal governments were virtually bankrupt, and their combined debt was greater than the country's total GDP, its gross domestic product. Unemployment stuck at 11.4 per cent … (p. 3)

… Mulroney might have survived to fight and win a third term if he hadn't also put the country in a constitutional pressure cooker … (p. 4)

In Chrétien's estimation, Mulroney's gambles failed completely …

… his close friend and key lieutenant Lucien Bouchard quit the Tories and launched the Bloc Québecois, which was dedicated to advancing the cause of Quebec independence within the federal House; Preston Manning funneled Western discontent into his populist movement, the Reform Party; and Mulroney himself, with his personal popularity lower than the percentage of people who believed that Elvis Presley was still alive, decided to retreat from the field in February, 1993. (p 4-5)

Then he gloats – and why not? I know many will say he benefited from the fracture of the political right but the guy did win three majorities.

Ten years later, at my retirement … in 2003, Canada was enjoying the longest period of economic expansion since the 1960s, Ottawa was on the verge of announcing its seventh budget surplus in a row, unemployment had fallen to around seven per cent and was still dropping, the Parti Québécois had been defeated …, Western Canada had never been more prosperous, Canada's international reputation as an economic miracle and independent force for peace in the world had never been higher, and the Liberal Party … was .. ready to win its fourth consecutive majority. (p 5)

Prime ministers cannot – must not — get bogged down in the details of government or try to micromanage the business of the nation. Rather, it is their job to establish priorities, develop strategies, supervise crises, handle the toughest problems, communicate the complicated issues in simple ways, and delegate as much as possible to their ministers. (p 7)

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Tory army on the move

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In Ottawa today, many young people are out and about doing a little political work on behalf of the Conservative Party. They are wearing bright, yellow t-shirts and are handing out cards that suggest Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion will tax anything. A reader of this blog sent along some pics, one of which is reproduced here, that s/he snapped with the comment: “I wonder if they're junior tories or if this was the best they could do in the summer job department!”

The Liberals have a good day

There's no question the federal Liberal party and its national caucus is going through some difficult days. Some MPs and Liberal insiders are bitterly upset with their leader Stephane Dion and there is broad disagreement within the caucus over strategy and timing to force an election.

But for all that, there is the odd good day, as I wrote today.

Yesterday, a radiant, beaming Martha Hall Findlay finally walked into the House of Commons as a Member of Parliament. I was sitting in the press gallery above the Speaker's chair and Findlay's smile as she entered the Commons at the other end of the Chamber was as bright as a beacon. Joyce Murray, who won a squeaker in Vancouver Quadra — squeakers aren't supposed to happen to Liberals in that riding, heightening concern some Liberals already had about Dion — looked thrilled if a bit overawed on her entry.

And Bob Rae looked like he was putting on a comfortable sweater he hadn't seen in years. There are politicians who, no matter what they do, just have an aura of leadership about them. Rae is one of them. Ignatieff might be another. Dion, not so much. At least not so much in the House.

But at a short campaign-style rally/party the Liberals held in a bar on Elgin Street in Ottawa tonight to welcome their new MPs, Dion looks so much more comfortable. Unlike Stephen Harper who, in Opposition, was cold and lifeless in front of crowds or 1,000 or 10, Dion is a much better politician outside the House of Commons. He's got a good wit; he's self-deprecating; and he can be quick on his feet. Some Liberal MPs, in fact, suggested that maybe he ought to spend more time outside the House, building the party, and less time worrying about preparing for Question Period.

By and large, Liberals tonight seemed festive and in good spirits. Some MPs I spoke to are clearly worried about a campaign, worried they'll be able to motivate their campaign workers, and worried how they're leader will perform.

But that's for another day, a day that may not come until the fall of 2009. For the Liberal caucus, with three new MPs, today and yesterday were good days.

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The toughest jobs in the world

If you really wanted to give yourself a challenge you could a) solve global warming b) bring peace to the Middle East c) figure out how to beat the New England Patriots or d) try to rebuild the federal Liberal Party in Quebec.  So let’s applaud Louis-Philippe Angers, who has bravely volunteered for one of the above:

Liberal Party of Canada (Québec) Has a New Executive Director 

MONTREAL, Jan. 9 – The Honourable Céline Hervieux-Payette,  Senator, Lieutenant and the Leader's key political organizer for Québec and  Mr. Robert Fragasso, President of the Québec section of the Liberal Party of Canada are pleased to announce the nomination of Mr. Louis-Philippe Angers as  LPC(Q)'s Executive Director. Following a rigorous selection process, his  candidacy was chosen by the LPC(Q) Administrative Committee and, as per the  rules and regulations with the Party Constitution, his nomination was ratified by the Board of Directors. 

Senator Hervieux-Payette's welcoming remarks to our new Executive  Director: ” I've known Louis-Philippe Angers for a number of years and I am  convinced that our membership at LPC(Q) will rally under his direction and  behind our Leader, the Honourable Stéphane Dion for the next Federal
elections.” 

As for the president of LPC(Q), Mr. Robert Fragasso is happy with the arrival of Mr. Angers: “2008 should be an election year and I want to assure our new Executive Director of my full cooperation and that of every Federal Liberal militant of Québec.”

The new Executive Director is taking on his new job with a lot of  enthusiasm: “I have been a Liberal member for a long time and I am glad to have this occasion to, once more, put my knowledge and energy to the service of the Party; and assure myself that the LPC becomes, once again, Quebecers' favourite Party. Starting this week, I will begin a round of meetings with Federal Liberals from all regions of the Province so that we can be ready, when the time comes, to answer the call from our Leader, the Honourable Stéphane Dion.” …

Morrissey in for McGuire

Robert “Bobby” Morrissey won a three-way nomination battle over the weekend in the PEI riding of Egmont. Egmont is represented in Parliament right now by Joe McGuire (left) who, at the age of 63, has decided not to run again. The Liberals have held Egmont since 1980 which raises the stakes, to a degree, for the nomination. Just as a Conservative who wins a riding nomination in Alberta can expect to head to Parliament, so can a Liberal who wins a PEI riding.

As a result, more than 1,100 Liberals voted on Saturday for one of the three candidates, making it the biggest nomination event ever held in the western island riding.

McGuire won six elections in Egmont, beginning in 1988. In the current Parliamentary session, he is a member of the House of Commons Standing Committee on National Defence.

During Jean Chretien's term as Prime Minister, McGuire was Minister for the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency.

The federal Conservatives thought that they had a chance to win one of the four seats on PEI in the 2006 federal election but each Liberal incumbents was able to hold his own. There's a good chance the Liberals sweep the island again if an election were held in the next six months. Even Conservatives I know concede that point.

Morrissey is a former provincial cabinet minister who served with Premiers Joe Ghiz and Catherine Callbeck.

Inside the OLO, at the new Globe and Mail

Our friends at The Globe and MailCTV and The Globe are owned by the same company — have a new look today for their print edition and their Web site has been expanded and tweaked. Over there, you’ll find Jane Taber’s look inside Stephane Dion’s Opposition Leader’s Office (OLO) and, according to Taber’s sources, it’s not yet clear who’s calling the shots:

In the nearly five months since the convention the complaints have grown to include a lack of consultation with MPs, not enough emphasis on party renewal and dissatisfaction with research and travel staff in the Opposition Leader's Office.

As Mr. Dion continues to struggle in the public opinion polls, there are also concerns that his closest advisers are all members of the Paul Martin team that reduced the Liberal Party to minority status in 2004 and then lost everything in 2006.

 

 

Liberals get out of the way of May-MacKay showdown

The Canadian Press is reporting that Liberal leader Stephane Dion will not field a candidate in the Nova Scotia riding of Central Nova, where incumbent Peter MacKay, the Foreign Affairs Minister will defend his seat against, among others, Elizabeth May, leader of the Green Party.

“His decision will shorten the lengthy odds that May will be able to win the Greens' first seat in the House of Commons but she still faces an uphill battle,” The Canadian Press writes.

“… Dion and May have also been discussing various ways in which their two parties might co-operate in other ridings during the coming election. And Dion has said he believes May should be allowed to participate in the televised leaders' debates, even though her party has never yet won a seat.”

There are rumblings in Ottawa that Alexis Macdonald, who has carried the NDP banner in the last two elections against MacKay, may be moved to another riding, possibly to Halifax if incumbent NDP MP Alexa McDonough retires. The NDP would still run a candidate in Central Nova but the thinking among some NDP types is that Macdonald is a good candidate who could breakthrough, perhaps, elsewhere in Nova Scotia.

 

 

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Libloggers organize!

On the heels of a conference call organized by Stephane Dion’s office with some key Liberal bloggers, Liberals in the blogosphere have set up a single point-of-contact for those who want to watch YouTube content created by Liberal supporters. Here’s the release from Liblog creator Jason Cherniak:

Liblogs, the unofficial list of Liberal bloggers, launches a video page on the Liblogs.ca website 

Toronto, March 28, 2007 – Canadians are watching YouTube videos more and more every day.  Taking advantage of this new medium, Liblogs.ca will now offer one location for Liberals to post their YouTube videos (http://liblogs.ca/news.en.cgi?10) for all to see.

“Ever since Stéphane Dion’s election as leader, Liberals have been making videos at home and sending them to me,” explained Jason Cherniak, founder and president of Liblogs.  “I realized that it was time to expand Liblogs so that we could display those videos in one easy to access location for all Canadians to see.”

Liblogs is the operating name of a non-profit corporation, Blogger Support Services. For over a year, it has been operating a list of Liberal bloggers at http://liblogs.ca, where Canadians can scan the headlines of the posts of over 250 Liberal bloggers at any time, on any day.

 “This new video page is in addition to our main blog service and Liblogs News, which highlights a selection of some of the best Liberal Blog posts once a day,” said Mr. Cherniak.  “Liblogs videos will allow Liberals from across the country to use their creative talents and express their support for the Liberal Party in the most modern manner available.”

Engineering their own defeat

A few days ago I signed up at Facebook and wondered here how I might find it useful. Well, here’s one useful reason to be there: Many of the people I cover are there. Here’s Liberal MP Mark Holland, for example, writing on Facebook live from the C-30 (Clean Air Act) committee meeting room with his thoughts on how work on that bill is going; how the Conservatives might engineer their own defeat on it; and how it seems the Bloc might be caving a bit …

Some people were unclear about why C-30 would lead to an election – I should be clearer. We will amend the act in committee with the support of other opposition parties – make it pro-Kyoto and basically totally rewrite it. The Conservatives will then declare it an 'economy killer' and say that if the House passes it, it is a vote of no-confidence in the government. We and the other opposition parties can't give up our commitment to Kyoto so we will have to support it – down goes the government. Just my theory…however in a new development, the Bloc are refusing to work with any of our or the NDP amendments. I think they are avoiding strengthening C-30 so that it stays the government bill. They will then support it as a first step, saying that they want more but can accept C-30 as a start. They are using the argument of territoriality as shielding. In short – they are letting the Conservatives have their weak and meaningless C-30 generally as it was presented to avoid them using it as an election starter. I still think we will go to the polls in spring but maybe not on C-30 now… we’ll have to see how the week plays out and if the Bloc turn around to working with us to make C-30 a real plan to deal with climate change.

UPDATE: Holland has updated his Facebook comment,  removing the section above about the Bloc Quebecois. He now says the Bloc Quebecois seems to co-operating more fully with the other Opposition parties. His comment from committee now reads:

Some people were unclear about why C-30 would lead to an election – I should be clearer. We will amend the act in committee with the support of other opposition parties – make it pro-Kyoto and basically totally rewrite it. The Conservatives will then declare it an 'economy killer' and say that if the House passes it, it is a vote of no-confidence in the government. We and the other opposition parties can't give up our commitment to Kyoto so we will have to support it – down goes the government. Just my theory…C-30 sits until 9:30pm tonight so we should have a better sense of things by the time the night is out.