The latest voter intentions survey from Nik Nanos’ firm SES Research has the federal Conservatives and Liberals in a dead heat with the Green Party gaining ground. In fact, for the first time in the polling history of SES, the Green Party has more “national” support than the Bloc Quebecois.
“A combination of factors have been at play in the past month including focus on the new Conservative Environmental Plan and a greater focus on the Afghanistan Mission. This all adds up to a political stalement. What has also been interesting in the past few months is the steady decline of the BQ and the major voter swings in Quebec between the Liberals and the Conservatives,” Nanos says on his blog.
Here’s the numbers (the number in brackets is the percentage point change from the pollsters’s last foray in the field with this question, on April 5) :
For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed Voters Only – First Choice)
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Liberal 33% (0)
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Conservative Party 32% (-4)
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NDP 17% (+1)
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Green Party 10% (+4)
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BQ 9%(-1)
The survey of 1,000 voters was done between April 26 and May 1. The pollster says the results are accurate to within 3.4 percentage points 19 times out of 20.