Pollster SES Research releases a survey this morning about voter preferences in Ontario. In that province, Premier Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals enjoy a seven-point lead over their nearest rival, John Tory’s Tories.
When asked who they would vote for in a provincial election, 42 per cent of respondents in SES’s survey said they’re vote Liberal. 35 per cent said they’d vote for the Progressive Conservatives and 16 per cent said they’d vote for Howard Hampton’s NDP party. Seven per cent were ready to mark an X next to a Green Party candidate.
But Nik Nanos, the principal at SES, has a warning for provincial Liberals: “The McGuinty Liberals should not take too much comfort in their seven point lead over the Tory PCs. Looking at the underlying numbers, Ontarians are split as to whether the province is going in the right direction (38%) or on the wrong track (39%). One half of Ontarians (51%) describe the McGuinty performance as Premier as “average”.”
SES Research polled 500 Ontarians between Nov. 25 and 27. The survey results are accurate to within 4.4 percentage points 19 times out of 20.