Debunking Senator Kenny

Liberal Senator Colin Kenny was quoted this week in a story by the Ottawa Citizen’s Richard Foot that he believed Canada’s defence spending was too low. If you’ve read the article, you’ll find this note, from Steve Staples of the Polaris Institute, of some interest:

Senator Colin Kenney’s (sic) comments reported today about Canadian military spending warrant close scrutiny.

In comparing Canadian military spending with other NATO members, the quotable senator likes to base his analysis on military spending as a percentage of GDP. But this method puts spending out of context with a nation’s defensive needs.

For instance, if strong global prices of natural resources drive our GDP upward, how many additional troops and planes do we then need to defend Canada? And if our GDP were to ever decrease, would senators be calling for less military spending? The answer is that Canada’s defensive needs are unrelated to the price of wheat or timber.

The often unreported truth is when you actually compare military budgets, dollar for dollar Canada is 6th highest in the 26-member NATO alliance. But even using GDP-based comparison, at 1.2% Canada is on par with Spain (1.2%), Germany (1.3%) and Denmark (1.4%).

The senator was also quoted today as saying the Dutch are spending $650 per capita on defence, and Canada about $340. In fact, according to NATO the Netherlands will spend only $440 ($376 USD) per capita, and Canada will spend $358 ($306 USD) per capita, making our country 10th highest in NATO on a per capita basis.

 

Tree huggers of the right!

Who says Tories don’t love trees?

The Honourable John Baird, Minister of the Environment and the Honourable Gary Lunn, Minister of Natural Resources, today announced a contribution of $2 million towards the restoration of Vancouver's Stanley Park National Historic Site (NHS) of Canada. This announcement complements funding by the Government of British Columbia and supports fundraising efforts by the private sector, and many individual
British Columbians.
    “We are delivering on the commitment that was made when I toured the park last week. Canada's New Government has acted quickly so that once again, Canadians and visitors from around the world can enjoy this natural national treasure,” said Minister Baird.
    “British Columbia's forests have recently had more than their share of natural calamities,” said Minister Lunn. “Vast parts of the Interior have been eaten away by the mountain pine beetle and the Federal Government is investing $200 million in measures to combat this infestation. And now, the severe damage to this beautiful national historic site warrants further action.”  . . .

[Read the full press release]

Your Liberal shadow cabinet

Minutes ago, Liberal leader Stephane Dion announced his shadow cabinet (though he said he’s uncomfortable with that term). He has also set up several  committees within his caucus that will deal with various subject areas. Here’s the lineup vs the ministers they cover. I have put ministers and former ministers in boldface.

Rt.  Hon. Stephen Harper, Prime Minister vs Hon. Stephane Dion, Leader of the Official Opposition; Michael Ignatieff (Ontario), Deputy Leader

Hon. Rob Nicholson, Minister of Justice vs Marlene Jennings (Quebec) 

Hon. David Emerson, Minister of International Trade, Minister for the Pacific Gateway and the Vancouver-Whistler Olympics, vs Navdeep Bains (Ontario), International Trade; Don Bell (B.C.) Pacific Gateway; Hon. Hedy Fry (B.C.), Olympics

Hon. Jean-Pierre Blackburn, Minister of Labour, Minister of the Economic Development Agency of Canada for the Regions of Quebec vs Mario Silva (Ontario), Labour; Marcel Proulx (Quebec) Economic Development Agency for Quebec

Hon. Greg Thompson, Minister of Veterans Affairs vs. Hon. Albina Guarnieri (Ontario)

Hon. Marjory Lebreton ; Leader of the Government in the Senate, Secretary of State (Seniors) vs. Celine Hervieux-Payette (Quebec), Leader of the Opposition in the Senate; Claudette Tardiff (Alberta), Deputy Leader of the Opposition in the Senate; Jim Cowan (Nova Scotia),  Senate Whip
S

Hon. Monte Solberg, Minister of Human Resources and Social Development vs Mike Savage (Nova Scotia); Hon. Carolyn Bennett (Ontario), Seniors, the Disabled and the Social Economy

Hon. Chuck Strahl Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food, Minister for the Canadian Wheat Board vs Hon. Wayne Easter (PEI)
Hon. Christian Paradis, Secretary of State (Agriculture)

Hon. Gary Lunn, Minister of Natural Resources vs Mark Holland (Ontario)

Hon. Peter MacKay, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Minister of the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency vs. Hon. Ujjal Dosanjh (B.C.), Foreign Affairs; Hon. Raymond Chan (B.C.), Foreign Affairs – Asia-Pacific; Jean-Claude D’Amours (New Brunswick)

Hon. Loyola Hearn, Minister of Fisheries and Oceans vs. Scott Simms (Nfld)

Hon. Stockwell Day , Minister of Public Safety vs. Hon. Sue Barnes (Ontario)

Hon. Carol Skelton , Minister of National Revenue vs Hon. Judy Sgro (Ontario)

Hon. Vic Toews, President of the Treasury Board vs Hon. Raymond Simard (Manitoba), Intergovernmental  Affairs;

Hon. Rona Ambrose , President of the Queen's Privy Council for Canada, Minister of Intergovermental Affairs, Minister of Western Economic Diversification vs. Bernard Patry (Quebec); Sukh Dhaliwal (B.C.), Western Economic Diversification

Hon. Diane Finley , Minister of Citizenship and Immigration vs. Omar Alghabra (Ontario)

Hon. Gordon O’Connor,  Minister of National Defence vs Hon. Denis Coderre (Quebec)

Hon. Bev Oda, Minister of Canadian Heritage and Status of Women vs Tina Keeper (Manitoba), Heritage; Hon. Maria Minna (Ontario), Status of Women

Hon. Jim Prentice Minister of Indian Affairs and Northern Development, Federal Interlocutor for Métis and Non-Status Indians vs. Hon. Anita Neville (Manitoba); Larry Bagnell (Yukon), Northern Affairs

Hon. John Baird, Minister of the Environment vs David McGuinty (Ontario) 

Hon. Maxime Bernier , Minister of Industry vs.  Hon. Scott Brison (Nova Scotia)
Hon. Gerry Ritz, Secretary of State (Small Business and Tourism)

Hon. Lawrence Cannon, Minister of Transport, Infrastructure and Communities vs Paul Zed (New Brunswick), Cities and Communities; Hon. Mauril Belanger (Ontario), Infrastructure; Hon. Joe Volpe (Ontario), Transport

Hon. Tony Clement, Minister of Health, Minister for the Federal Economic Development Initiative for Northern Ontario vs Bonnie Brown (Ontario), Helath; Ken Boshcoff (Ontario), FEDNOR

Hon. Jim Flaherty, Minister of Finance vs Hon. John McCallum (Ontario)

Hon. Josée Verner, Minister of International Coperation, Minister for la Francophonie and Official Languages vs Hon. Mark Eyking (Nova Scotia), CIDA; Raymonde Falco (Quebec), La Francophonie and Official Languages

Hon. Michael Fortier, Minister of Public Works and Government Services vs. Pablo Rodriguez (Quebec)

Hon. Peter Van Loan, Leader of the Government in the House of Commons, Minister for Democratic Reform vs Hon. Ralph Goodale, (Saskatchewan), Liberal House Leader; Hon. Lucienne Robillard (Quebec), Deputy House Leader; Hon. Stephen Owen (B.C.), Democratic Reform

Hon. Jay Hill Secretary of State and Chief Government Whip vs. Karen Redman (Ontario), Opposition Whip; Marcel Proulx (Quebec), Deputy Opposition Whip

Hon. Jason Kenney, Secretary of State (Multiculturalism and Canadian Identity) vs. Colleen Beaumier (Ontario) 

Hon. Helena Guergis, Secretary of State (Foreign Affairs and International Trade), Secretary of State (Sport) vs Hon. Hedy Fry (B.C.),  Sport

Ray Bonin remains in his position as chair of the National Caucus Chair.

Hon. Belinda Stronach (Ontario) is critic for Competitiveness and the New Economy

Hon. Dan McTeague (Ontario) is critic for Consumer Affairs and Consular Services

Borys Wrzesnewskyj is critic for Crown Corporations

Hon. Irwin Cotler is critic for Human Rights

Ruby Dhalla is critic for Social Development

Hon. Charles Hubbard is critic for Rural Affairs

Hon. Maurizio Bevilacqua is critic for Science and Research

Dion has four committees within his caucus for various subject areas. Here they are with their chairs and vice-chairs:

  • Priorities and Planning Committee: Chair – Dion; Vice-Chair – Ignatieff
  • Economic Prosperity: Chair – Hon. John McKay (Ontario); Vice-Chair – Massimo Pacetti (Quebec)
  • Social Justice: Chair – Hon. Ken Dryden (Quebec); Hon. Andy Scott (New Brunswick)
  • Environmental Sustainability – Chair – Hon. John Godfrey (Ontario); Vice-Chair – Hon. Geoff Regan (Nova Scotia)
  • Canada and the World – Chair – Hon. Bryon Wilfert (Ontario); Vice-Chair – Hon. Keith Martin (B.C.)

Equalization: A little light reading

For those of you who just can’t get enough of the whole equalization debate, you’ll be pleased to hear that the editors at the Institute for Research on Public Policy have helpfully pointed us to a few papers they’ve published over the last few years on this topic, all of them written by federal-provincial relationship guru Tom Courchene:

Energy prices, equalization and federalism

Resource Revenues and Equalization: Five-Province vs. National-Average Standards, Alternatives to the Representative Tax System, and Revenue-Sharing Pools

Vertical and Horizontal Fiscal Imbalances: An Ontario Perspective

Have fun!

And nothing for the flattest province …

The provincial government in Saskatchewan continues its public relations battle with the federal government over the issue of equalization payments. NDP Premier Lorne Calvert does not want resource revenue used in the formula to calculate how much money Ottawa sends a province. Prime Minister Paul Martin set such a precedent with his so-called asymetric federalism approach of one-off deals with Nova Scotia and Newfoundland that excluded or partially excluded resource revenue.

Calvert has been asking for the same thing and he says Prime Minister Harper has indicated to him that he shouldn’t necessarily count on a similar deal. (Adding in resource revenue to a province’s financial situation makes a province look wealthier and, generally speaking, transfer payments to a province shrink as they get wealthier. It is in a province’s best interest to make itself look as poor as possible in order to maximize transfer payments from Ottawa). The Prime Minister has been asked about this here in Ottawa but has been rather equivocal on the subject.

Today, the finance minister of Saskatchewan, Andrew Thomson, releases a letter he received today from his federal counterpart Jim Flaherty. In the letter, Flaherty provides “for budget certainty” the amount of “equalization floor payments” provinces can expect in 2007–08. In other words, Flaherty is setting out the minimum he expects each province to receive. Saskatchewan joins B.C., Alberta and Ontario as the only provinces for which there is no guaranteed funding. Alberta, Ontario and B.C. will almost certainly get nothing because they are the ‘have’ provinces in Confederation. Calvert would like to argue that Saskatchewan is still a ‘have-not’ province and needs federal transfer money. In fact, Saskatchewan’s government was counting on $800–million from Ottawa. Today, it learned that it shouldn’t count on anything from Ottawa.

“[Ottawa is] guaranteeing $11.7 billion in total, including $1.7 billion to Manitoba,” said Saskatchewan Finance Minister Andrew Thomson in a press release. “They are honouring the Atlantic Accords for Newfoundland Labrador and Nova Scotia, yet they will not guarantee that they will meet their commitment for $800 million to Saskatchewan.”

Payments to the various provinces range from $291 million to Prince Edward Island up to $6.5 billion to Quebec.

“There is no certainty for Saskatchewan here,” Thomson said. “Following our meeting in Vancouver last month, I asked Minister Flaherty to honour his government's commitment to Saskatchewan. As recently as this morning, we heard members of his government reassure us that they would do just that. Yet the letter today has left the people of this province without any guarantee of retaining our natural resource revenues.”

And to make matters more interesting, 12 of the 14 federal ridings in Saskatchewan are held by Conservatives — some of whom have been privately worried that this issue could come back to bite them at the next election.

Strahl commits to vote on wheat

The federal government wants to break up the ‘single-desk’ system for the marketing of wheat and barley that Western Canadians must use. Agriculture Minister Chuck Strahl  announced last week that Western Canadian farmers will vote on the issue so far as barley goes in a vote that will take place from Jan. 31 to March 6. The question that will be put to farmers in that vote has not yet been made public but will be sometime before Jan. 31, a spokesman for Strahl’s office told me tonight.

Late today, Strahl also announced that Ottawa will conduct a plebiscite on the marketing of wheat but that vote will happen “at an appropriate time.” Strahl affirmed that “Western Canadian farmers have the Government’s commitment that no changes will be made in the Canadian Wheat Board’s role in the marketing of wheat until after that vote is held.”

This latest announcement from Strahl follows on the heels of an announcement earlier in the day by the government of Manitoba  that reported the result’s of Manitoba’s own plebiscite.:

“Independent accounting firm Meyers Norris Penny today released the final results of the provincially- administered vote on the wheat board’s single desk. Wheat and barley producers voted 61.8 per cent in favour of retaining the single desk for barley, while 69.5 per cent voted in favour of retaining the single desk for wheat. Sixty-five per cent of eligible voters participated.”

The spokesman for Strahl’s office tonight pointed out that the question Manitoba put to farmers was an “all-or-nothing” proposal, in which farmers were essentially asked if they favoured the elimination of the Canadian Wheat Board. The spokesman, Conrad Bellehumeur, noted that the federal government does not wish to eliminate the wheat board but wishes to offer farmers the choice of finding their own organization to market their grains or use the Wheat Board.

“Our vision is to have the Wheat Board as a viable option,” Bellehumeur told me. “We don’t want to eliminate the Wheat Board.”

Bellehumeur also notes that Manitoba is home to about 10 per cent of all Western Canadian barley farmers and 14 per cent of wheat farmers.

 

Wikileaks — not sure about that idea just yet

There will soon be a new site called Wikileaks where, according to the site's creators, you'll be able to 'leak' documents without worrying that the leak can get traced back to anyone. The anonymous mathematicians and programmers behind Wikileaks believe that this site “.. combines the protection and anonymity of cutting-edge cryptographic technologies with the transparency and simplicity of a wiki interface .. Wikileaks opens leaked documents up to a much more exacting scrutiny than any media organization or intelligence agency could provide: the scrutiny of a worldwide community of informed wiki editors.”
Well, good luck. Professionally speaking, I rely on the quiet word, the unnamed source, the leaked document, and the anonymous e-mail as an essential source of good news items. So I'll be visiting Wikileaks when it gets up and running which, according to the site creators, will be in as little as three our four weeks.
But — as someone who is often offered confidential information — let me pass on this advice: Those who have confidential information want to know who they're giving it to. They want to know the character of the reporter who will tell the world about this confidential information. And they want to know for a few reasons — mostly because they need to trust that person. Wikileaks says it has some great cryptography, etc. which it says will protect its sources. And they say they've got 2 million leaked documents ready to go. Ok. Great. That's cool. But the cryptographers behind the site — so far as I can tell — are anonymous. That's not right. Heck, these folks could be the secret police from [fill-in-evil-country's-name-here] for all you and I know!
Those who are courageous enough to leak information need to leak to partners who are courageous enough to put their own name on the line and who have the fortitude to defend the anonymity of those who asked for that cloak.

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Failed Conservative candidate a political problem for Tories

News item:

OTTAWA — The Conservative party has been ordered to pay up to $50,000 to a former candidate who agreed to step aside for a star recruit in the last election.
A judge has ruled that the party had no right to renege on agreement struck with Alan Riddell, who stepped aside as the candidate in Ottawa South so that Allan Cutler, the bureaucrat who blew the whistle on the sponsorship scandal, could carry the party banner in the riding . . .

“Agreement struck with Alan Riddell”? What agreement struck with Alan Riddell? Why I remember clear as if it was yesterday standing in a scrum with Stephen Harper on Dec. 4, 2005 — in the middle of the election campaign Harper would eventually win — asking him if the party had agreed to pay Riddell off as part of a backroom deal — a confidential agreement — to clear the way for Riddell.
“In fact there is no agreement and he hasn't been paid anything,” Harper told reporters on Dec. 4, 2005.
“The party does not have an agreement to pay Mr. Riddell these expenses, and Mr. Riddell has not been paid anything to date, ,” Harper told us said when asked again on the same day.
But a judge of the Ontario Superior Court of Justice disagrees. In a ruling he issued today — Riddell had sued the party to enforce the agreement denied by Harper — Mr. Justice Denis Power writes: “There is now no dispute between the parties concerning the fact that an agreement between Mr. Riddell and the CPC [Conservative Party of Canada] was concluded, [and] that the agreement is dated November 25, 2005 …
Among those who negotiated directly with Riddell or his representatives in late 2005 were Ian Brodie, who was then and is now Harper's Chief of Staff; Mike Donison, then and now the executive director of the Conservative Party; and Don Plett, who was, then and now, the president of party. Brodie and Donison had, like Harper, rejected the idea that there was any backroom deal with Riddell when asked about this in late 2005.
And yet, if you read through the judge's finding [caution: it's a 13 MB PDF], you will find e-mails and testimony that clearly show how concerned Donison and others were that any whiff of this deal not be made public.
Harper was not available to answer questions today about this. Donison, reached by phone late this afternoon, referred questions to the terse two-line statement he issued today: “This is part of ongoing court proceedings surrounding various disputes between Mr. Riddell and the Conservative Party. The Party continues to be willing to attempt to resolve these issues if at all possible.” That statement, incidentally, is not anywere I can find on the press release section of the party's Web site as of 10 pm Ottawa time.
Riddell — who Donison refers to as “an idiot”, in an e-mail cited by the judge in his ruling – is not yet done with the Tories. He is suing Plett and Harper in separate actions, alleging that both men defamed him in their public comments and actions in the early part of the last election campaign.
And if you do download the ruling and leaf through it, you may run into names that you don't see everyday — like Ray Novak or Jenni Byrne. If you find such a name, trying running it through GEDS, the online government employee directory. The odds are you'll find that person working in the Prime MInister's Office.
Oh — and Allan Cutler — the candidate who represented a new way of doing politics for the Conservatives — was thumped by David McGuinty.

Newspapers…and After?

John Nichols, writing in The Nation, gets this about right, in my view, and I’d suggest his thinking extends to Canada.

For all the talk about television's dominant role in campaigns (less and less because of its importance as a source of news for most Americans, more and more because of campaign commercials) and all the new attention to the Internet, newspapers for the most part continue to establish the parameters of what gets covered and how. Moreover, neither broadcast nor digital media have developed the reporting infrastructure or the level of credibility that newspapers enjoy. So candidates for the House, the Senate and even the White House still troop into old gray buildings in Denver and Omaha, Louisville and Boston, Concord and Des Moines in search of a forum where they can talk with reporters and editors about issues and where those conversations will, they hope, be distilled into articles and editorials that set so much of the agenda for the political debate at the local, state and national levels. [Read the rest of the story: Newspapers…and After?. ]