Should be an exciting night in Ontario Thursday as voters there pass judgement on the incumbent Liberal government of Dalton McGuinty. It should be exciting because, according to some polls out this weekend, the outcome seems far from decided:
- A Leger poll for my organization, Sun Media, shows: PC 32% / LPO 32% /NDP 29%. Leger polled a representative sample of 1,102 Ontarians drawn from its online panel of 350,000 Canadians on Sept. 28 and 29. The pollster says this kind of poll should be accurate to withign 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. So, based on that, all three parties are within the margin of error. In other words, they're tied.
- The folks at Angus Reid, doing a similar online panel at almost exactly the same time, get a similar headline: Progressive Conservatives and Liberals Are Virtually Tied in Ontario with the following results: PC 34% / LPO 33% / NDP 26%. Click thru on the link for methodology, etc.
- Over at Environics it's a similar story — a tie between Conservatives and Liberals — though they find the NDP a little further back. The Environics scorecard: PC 36% / LPO 35% / NDP 25%. Environics, too, polled about a 1,000 online from Sept 26-28.
So far as the regions go — sample sizes are smaller and therefore, margins of error increase — all the pollsters find Tim Hudak's Tories doing great in the southwestern, eastern, and northern parts of the province. Andrea Horwarth's NDP are doing well in the ridings in her hometown of Hamilton. And McGuinty's Liberals are rock-solid in Toronto and are nipping at Hudak's heels in the 905 ring around Toronto.
You missed Nanos from yesterday. 38% Libs, 34% PC, 26% NDP
Wake up Ontario…. we don't want to wake up to any government where the NDP is the tail that wags the dog! Been there, done that. In times like these, we can't let the socialist horde anywhere near te purse strings.
Polls don't mean nothing people are sick of liberals and there scams anyway the polls told us in the federal election not to believe what they said