The NDP hit list

Saskatchewan and British Columbia have already seen NDP leader Jack Layton and Conservative leader Stephen Harper twice so far in this election campaign and for good reason. The NDP, shut out in Saskatchewan in 2004 despite receiving roughly the same number of votes overall in that province as it did prior to 2004, thinks it can win some seats back in that province. (The Conservatives made almost a clean sweep of Saskatchewan, winning 13 of 14 seats there. Finance Minister Ralph Goodale is the only non-Conservative MP from that province right now.) Meanwhile in B.C., the NDP placed a close second in a handful of ridings and party strategists are hopeful of stealing a few.

In many of those close ridings in both B.C. and Saskatchewan, it was a Conservative candidate who narrowly edged out the NDP candidate. Here's a quick table of the ridings where the NDP candidate finished second in 2004 by less than a 1,000 votes.

Riding                                            Prov. Winner                              Party Winner's Vote pct. Votes by which the NDP lost
Western Arctic NW Ethel Blondin-Andrew LIB 39.5 53
New Westminster-Coquitlam BC Paul Forseth CON 32.9 113
Palliser SK Dave Batters CON 35.9 124
Saskatoon-Humboldt SK Brad Trost CON 26.8 417
Oshawa ON Colin Carrie CON 33.2 463
Vancouver Island North BC John Duncan CON 35.4 483
British Columbia Southern Interior BC Jim Gouk CON 36.6 680
Trinity-Spadina ON Tony Ianno LIB 43.6 805
Regina Qu'Appelle SK Andrew Scheer CON 35.8 861
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek ON Tony Valeri LIB 37.7 927
Kenora ON Roger Valley LIB 36.2 986
Hamilton Mountain ON Beth Phinney LIB 34.8 996

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